Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABP07330
Escabeau - LEO - 114 - Métal - 4 marches - Pliant - Couleur aléatoire
midtail
1P
MATERIEL CHANTIER
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▼ 26.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+55.6%
vs same 4w last year (9 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 190
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAABP07330
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 128 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Escabeau - LEO - 114 - Métal - 4 marches - Pliant - Couleur aléatoire · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending down -26.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (672 days of history, 237 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.15 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 19 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 15.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 42.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 41.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 128.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 24.3K |