Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABP07328
Escabeau - LEO - 112 - Métal - 2 marches - Pliable - Antidérapant - Couleur Aléatoire
longtail
1P
MATERIEL CHANTIER
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
59
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
59
≈ 36.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 142
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-16
AAABP07328
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 147 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Escabeau - LEO - 112 - Métal - 2 marches - Pliable - Antidérapant - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 59 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (763 days of history, 154 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 65.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 146.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.8K |