Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABP07328
Escabeau - LEO - 112 - Métal - 2 marches - Pliable - Antidérapant - Couleur Aléatoire
longtail
1P
MATERIEL CHANTIER
Last 4 weeks demand
8
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
36
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
36
≈ 22.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 144
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAABP07328
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 188 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Escabeau - LEO - 112 - Métal - 2 marches - Pliable - Antidérapant - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, stable demand · on-hand 36 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (840 days of history, 169 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 62.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 188.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 27.2K |