Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABP07326
Escabeau - LEO - 113 - Métal - 3 marches - Pliable - 40x71x109cm - Couleur aléatoire
longtail
1P
MATERIEL CHANTIER
Last 4 weeks demand
8
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
69
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
69
≈ 69.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 159
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAABP07326
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 86 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Escabeau - LEO - 113 - Métal - 3 marches - Pliable - 40x71x109cm - Couleur aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 68 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (749 days of history, 98 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.68 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 46.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 86.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.8K |