Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABP07309
Barbecue électrique sur pied BBQ-241 noir - DENWA
longtail
1P
CUISINE EXTERIEURE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
10
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
10
≈ 76.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-06-30
Unit price
MAD 261
avg of last 8 sells · latest 2026-04-27
AAABP07309
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Barbecue électrique sur pied BBQ-241 noir - DENWA · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (749 days of history, 6 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.46 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |