Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABN88908
Céréales infantiles au lait et blé 250g - CERELAC
hero
3P
LAIT ET CEREALES
Last 4 weeks demand
78
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
141
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 3
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAABN88908
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 548 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Céréales infantiles au lait et blé 250g - CERELAC · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 78 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 174 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (840 days of history, 511 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.66 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 78 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 12.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 48.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 186.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 32.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 128.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 547.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.6K |