Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABN40044
CITYTEK MF109322 - Support Trépied Universel pour Téléphone et Smartphone
longtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 73.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
49
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
6
≈ 4.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 23
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
AAABN40044
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 75 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CITYTEK MF109322 - Support Trépied Universel pour Téléphone et Smartphone · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -73.3% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (714 days of history, 72 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 36.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 75.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.7K |