Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABN40028
Support téléphone voiture - CITYTEK - MF109242 - Installation facile - Prise en main sécurisée - Noir
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
19
▼ 26.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
19
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 8
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
AAABN40028
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 81 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Support téléphone voiture - CITYTEK - MF109242 - Installation facile - Prise en main sécurisée - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, trending down -26.9% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (840 days of history, 131 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 26 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): 1 week → past demand likely understated
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 41.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 81.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 629 |