Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABN40028
Support téléphone voiture - CITYTEK - MF109242 - Installation facile - Prise en main sécurisée - Noir
longtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▲ 13.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
19
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
12
≈ 6.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAABN40028
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 97 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Support téléphone voiture - CITYTEK - MF109242 - Installation facile - Prise en main sécurisée - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending up +13.3% · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (903 days of history, 151 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 32.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 11.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 97.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 974 |