Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABN35559
CITYTEK - Smart Watch carré Bluetooth 5.0 MF109307 - Noir
midtail
3P
MONTRE INTELLIGENTE - MONTRE CONNECTEE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 116.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
64
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
46
≈ 10.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 44
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AAABN35559
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 136 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CITYTEK - Smart Watch carré Bluetooth 5.0 MF109307 - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +116.7% · on-hand 46 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (777 days of history, 199 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.23 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 44.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 12.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 136.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.0K |