Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABN35559
CITYTEK - Smart Watch carré Bluetooth 5.0 MF109307 - Noir
midtail
1P + 3P
MONTRE INTELLIGENTE - MONTRE CONNECTEE
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 42.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
56
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
18
≈ 3.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 42
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAABN35559
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 304 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CITYTEK - Smart Watch carré Bluetooth 5.0 MF109307 - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -42.9% · on-hand 21 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (714 days of history, 182 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.20 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 21 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 6.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 28.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 131.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 304.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.9K |