Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABN35526
Peau de chamois jaune - 64x43cm
longtail
1P + 3P
NETTOYAGE - LIQUIDES ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 72.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
912
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
82
≈ 161.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 20
avg of last 25 sells · latest 2026-07-27
AAABN35526
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 67 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Peau de chamois jaune - 64x43cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -72.7% · on-hand 82 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (434 days of history, 28 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.83 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 30.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 67.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.4K |