Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABM69396
Support Mural TV Fixe - MGS - MTB-0521A - Acier - 32" à 70" - 35kg max - 20,5mm
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRES TV - VIDEO - SON
Last 4 weeks demand
2
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
164
Σ Stock across 9 live offers
1P stock
14
≈ 18.1 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 102
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-15
AAABM69396
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 50 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Support Mural TV Fixe - MGS - MTB-0521A - Acier - 32" à 70" - 35kg max - 20,5mm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 14 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (728 days of history, 22 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.60 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 14.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 49.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.1K |