Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABM69396
Support Mural TV Fixe - MGS - MTB-0521A - Acier - 32" à 70" - 35kg max - 20,5mm
longtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRES TV - VIDEO - SON
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
138
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
10
≈ 14.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 101
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
AAABM69396
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 56 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Support Mural TV Fixe - MGS - MTB-0521A - Acier - 32" à 70" - 35kg max - 20,5mm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (770 days of history, 24 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.57 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 24.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 56.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.7K |