Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABM69395
Support TV fixe - MGS - MTB-0521C - Acier - 32" à 70" - 40kg max - VESA 200-600mm
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRES TV - VIDEO - SON
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 700.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
59
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
30
≈ 132.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-06-30
Unit price
MAD 99
avg of last 13 sells · latest 2026-04-14
AAABM69395
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 65 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Support TV fixe - MGS - MTB-0521C - Acier - 32" à 70" - 40kg max - VESA 200-600mm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +700.0% · on-hand 30 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (777 days of history, 15 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.75 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 65.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.4K |