Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABL78091
Itel PowerBank Star100 – 10000 mAh – 2 Ports USB – Charge Rapide – Noir
hero
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
42
▼ 48.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
56
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
3
≈ 0.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 92
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAABL78091
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 305 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Itel PowerBank Star100 – 10000 mAh – 2 Ports USB – Charge Rapide – Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 42 units, trending down -48.8% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (840 days of history, 921 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.38 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 42 units · prev 4w = 82 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 8.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 38.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 148.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 73.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 305.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 28.0K |