Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABL78091
Itel PowerBank Star100 – 10000 mAh – 2 Ports USB – Charge Rapide – Noir
hero
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
55
▲ 41.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
94
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
44
≈ 3.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 86
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAABL78091
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 1032 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Itel PowerBank Star100 – 10000 mAh – 2 Ports USB – Charge Rapide – Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 55 units, trending up +41.0% · on-hand 44 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (903 days of history, 882 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.36 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 55 units · prev 4w = 39 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 374.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 29.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 80.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 1031.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 16.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 88.4K |