Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABL72695
Barbecue - Rectangulaire Pliable - Charbon - Inox - 35x27x20cm
longtail
1P
CUISINE EXTERIEURE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
vs same 4w last year (0 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 123
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAABL72695
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 163 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Barbecue - Rectangulaire Pliable - Charbon - Inox - 35x27x20cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (714 days of history, 33 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.37 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 15.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 41.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 162.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.0K |