Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABL72686
Briquette de charbon bio 3Kg - OLIVETTE
midtail
3P
CUISINE EXTERIEURE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 81.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
172
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 31
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAABL72686
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 86 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Briquette de charbon bio 3Kg - OLIVETTE · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -81.2% · on-hand 191 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (812 days of history, 498 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.61 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 16 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 26.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 86.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 0.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.6K |