Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABL36969
Ruban adhésif double face - Transparent - 1 mètre - Fixation forte - Réutilisable et lavable
midtail
3P
QUINCAILLERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-80.0%
vs same 4w last year (15 units)
Current stock
321
≈ 91.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 17
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAABL36969
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 137 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ruban adhésif double face - Transparent - 1 mètre - Fixation forte - Réutilisable et lavable · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 321 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (763 days of history, 243 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 32.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 37.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 137.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.4K |