Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAABK77952
Oreiller original strech gris 70x45cm - KINÉDORSAL "couleur aléatoire"
midtail
1P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
28
≈ stable (3.7% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+86.7%
vs same 4w last year (15 units)
Current stock
113
≈ 21.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 74
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAABK77952
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 153 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Oreiller original strech gris 70x45cm - KINÉDORSAL "couleur aléatoire" · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 28 units, stable demand · on-hand 113 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (784 days of history, 336 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 28 units · prev 4w = 27 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 19.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 50.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 53.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 153.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.4K |