Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABK77952
Oreiller original strech gris 70x45cm - KINÉDORSAL "couleur aléatoire"
midtail
1P + 3P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
59
▲ 55.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
511
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
10
≈ 1.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 64
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAABK77952
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 196 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Oreiller original strech gris 70x45cm - KINÉDORSAL "couleur aléatoire" · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 59 units, trending up +55.3% · on-hand 19 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (840 days of history, 420 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 59 units · prev 4w = 38 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 15.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 42.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 107.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 24.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 75.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 196.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.5K |