Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABK77949
2 taies d oreillers imprimées 50x70cm 100% coton "couleur et motif aléatoire"
longtail
1P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
552
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
386
≈ 718.4 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 23
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAABK77949
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
2 taies d oreillers imprimées 50x70cm 100% coton "couleur et motif aléatoire" · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 386 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (763 days of history, 33 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 17.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 68.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.6K |