Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABK77930
Ramette papier A4 - MONDI - Dolphin gris - 80g/m² - 21x29,7cm - Blanc
hero
1P
PAPIER - CAHIER - CARNET
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
18
▼ 21.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 36
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-26
AAABK77930
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 545 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ramette papier A4 - MONDI - Dolphin gris - 80g/m² - 21x29,7cm - Blanc · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 18 units, trending down -21.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (896 days of history, 486 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.14 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 18 units · prev 4w = 23 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 163.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 14.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 18.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 65.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 545.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 19.7K |