Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABK76962
6 verres à eau - SYLVANA
longtail
3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
39
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 28
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-01-09
AAABK76962
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 38 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
6 verres à eau - SYLVANA · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 39 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (784 days of history, 4 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 11.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 0.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 2.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 38.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 0.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.1K |