Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABK24700
Chaise pliable - CMP - 44x48,5x80cm - Bleu - Inox - Simili
longtail
1P + 3P
SIEGE - ASSISE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
134
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
8
≈ 9.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 127
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-17
AAABK24700
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 66 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Chaise pliable - CMP - 44x48,5x80cm - Bleu - Inox - Simili · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 9 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (623 days of history, 20 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 30.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 66.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.4K |