Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABJ49093
Sèche-cheveux - TAURUS - Studio 2500 - 2400W - Ioniseur d'air - Ultra-rapide
midtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
27
▼ 53.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
202
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 189
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAABJ49093
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 346 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sèche-cheveux - TAURUS - Studio 2500 - 2400W - Ioniseur d'air - Ultra-rapide · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 27 units, trending down -53.4% · on-hand 133 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (798 days of history, 468 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.97 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 27 units · prev 4w = 58 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 10.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 41.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 168.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 69.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 346.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 65.3K |