Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABH47372
Collier Élégant en Argent Plaqué 925 – 60 cm
longtail
3P
BIJOUX
Last 4 weeks demand
64
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
114
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 36
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAABH47372
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 228 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Collier Élégant en Argent Plaqué 925 – 60 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 64 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 115 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (756 days of history, 170 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.22 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 64 units · prev 4w = 32 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 15.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 47.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 118.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 25.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 83.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 228.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.1K |