Demand Forecast

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Pailles en verre transparentes x4 avec goupillon – Modèle M2
SKU · AAABG50605

Pailles en verre transparentes x4 avec goupillon – Modèle M2

longtail 1P SERVICE APERITIF - OENOLOGIE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

23
≈ 26.9 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 32
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-25

AAABG50605

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 53 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Pailles en verre transparentes x4 avec goupillon – Modèle M2 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 23 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (805 days of history, 30 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months14.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week3.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)15.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)53.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)—
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.7K