Demand Forecast

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1 SACHET DE 2 PILES R03 SUPERLUX
SKU · AAABF73938

1 SACHET DE 2 PILES R03 SUPERLUX

longtail 3P PILES
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 90.9% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-96.3%
vs same 4w last year (27 units)

Current stock

297
≈ 132.1 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 1
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAABF73938

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 130 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

1 SACHET DE 2 PILES R03 SUPERLUX · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -90.9% · on-hand 297 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (784 days of history, 106 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.05 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 11 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks11.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months36.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week9.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)43.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)130.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 182