Demand Forecast

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Gel Douche Vanille 750 ml - Fayz
SKU · AAABD98574

Gel Douche Vanille 750 ml - Fayz

longtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▼ 87.5% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-85.7%
vs same 4w last year (14 units)

Current stock

8
≈ 4.5 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAABD98574

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 74 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Gel Douche Vanille 750 ml - Fayz · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -87.5% · on-hand 8 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (805 days of history, 125 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 16 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months27.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)27.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)73.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 773