Demand Forecast

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Gel Douche - FAYZ - Pêche - 750 ml - Sans alcool - Sans colorant
SKU · AAABD98571

Gel Douche - FAYZ - Pêche - 750 ml - Sans alcool - Sans colorant

longtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 76.5% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-73.3%
vs same 4w last year (15 units)

Current stock

9
≈ 5.3 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAABD98571

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 71 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Gel Douche - FAYZ - Pêche - 750 ml - Sans alcool - Sans colorant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -76.5% · on-hand 9 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (805 days of history, 96 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 17 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks8.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months25.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)25.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)71.2 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 742