Demand Forecast

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Peau de chamois jaune en PVA - 43x32 cm
SKU · AAABD94505

Peau de chamois jaune en PVA - 43x32 cm

longtail 1P + 3P NETTOYAGE - LIQUIDES ENTRETIEN OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)

Offer Stock

676
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 11
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28

AAABD94505

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 203 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Peau de chamois jaune en PVA - 43x32 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (693 days of history, 173 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.14 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.5 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks2.6 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months48.9 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4
8.8 units
Optimistic — next week10.7 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)44.8 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)203.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.5
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 2.3K