Demand Forecast

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L'Oréal Paris - Sérum Glycolique Lumineux Anti-Cernes [Glycolic + Niacinamide + Vitamine Cg] - 20 ml
SKU · AAABC86530

L'Oréal Paris - Sérum Glycolique Lumineux Anti-Cernes [Glycolic + Niacinamide + Vitamine Cg] - 20 ml

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
▼ 40.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

85
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-06-30 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 88
avg of last 11 sells · latest 2026-05-07

AAABC86530

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 45 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

L'Oréal Paris - Sérum Glycolique Lumineux Anti-Cernes [Glycolic + Niacinamide + Vitamine Cg] - 20 ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -40.0% · on-hand 50 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (252 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.49 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 5 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks4.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months13.6 units
Optimistic — next week2.7 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)11.4 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)45.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 4.0K