Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABC10981
Table Multiusage - GENERIC - Multicolore - Plastique - Résistante à l'humidité - Facile à nettoyer
hero
1P
PETIT MEUBLE COMPLEMENT
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 46.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+100.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
20
≈ 1.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 33
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAABC10981
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 245 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Table Multiusage - GENERIC - Multicolore - Plastique - Résistante à l'humidité - Facile à nettoyer · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -46.7% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (770 days of history, 1,147 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.70 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 23.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 60.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 82.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 245.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.0K |