Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAABC10943
Bocal cristal avec couv 2kg "couleur aléatoire"
longtail
3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
4
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
10
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 5
avg of last 22 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAABC10943
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 158 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bocal cristal avec couv 2kg "couleur aléatoire" · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (840 days of history, 39 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 17.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 65.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 39.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 158.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 821 |