Demand Forecast

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Baume à Lèvres - Labello - Fruity Shine Fraise - Hydratant - FPS 10 - 4.8g
SKU · AAAAW60935

Baume à Lèvres - Labello - Fruity Shine Fraise - Hydratant - FPS 10 - 4.8g

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)

Current stock

151
≈ 89.6 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 12
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08

AAAAW60935

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 147 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Baume à Lèvres - Labello - Fruity Shine Fraise - Hydratant - FPS 10 - 4.8g · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 151 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (728 days of history, 88 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.90 — high (lumpy)
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 51 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks12.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months36.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week11.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)50.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)147.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.8K