Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAV59542
Souris Bth Rechargeabl2.4G 3Dpi Mf109326 Citytek
longtail
1P
CLAVIER - SOURIS - WEBCAM
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
vs same 4w last year (0 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 79
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-04-26
AAAAV59542
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 38 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Souris Bth Rechargeabl2.4G 3Dpi Mf109326 Citytek · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (392 days of history, 27 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.47 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 13.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 2.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 10.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 38.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.0K |