Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAV59516
Moulin A Epices/Cafe Cg223Aa 150W 60G Denwa
longtail
1P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 62.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
1
≈ 3.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL
Unit price
MAD 103
avg of last 29 sells · latest 2026-07-24
AAAAV59516
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Moulin A Epices/Cafe Cg223Aa 150W 60G Denwa · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -62.5% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (777 days of history, 22 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 28.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 69.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.1K |