Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAV59515
Set 6Pcs Mug Carat 16 Cl
longtail
3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
39
≈ 149.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 22
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-03-21
AAAAV59515
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set 6Pcs Mug Carat 16 Cl · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 39 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (742 days of history, 21 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.00 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | — units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |