Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAV59509
Machine Espresso - DENWA - ECM-290 - 19 Bar - 1400W - Couleur Aléatoire
longtail
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
8
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
7
≈ 4.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 539
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-06-16
AAAAV59509
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 155 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Machine Espresso - DENWA - ECM-290 - 19 Bar - 1400W - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (777 days of history, 35 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.07 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 67.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 155.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 83.7K |