Demand Forecast

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Machine Espresso - DENWA - ECM-290 - 19 Bar - 1400W - Couleur Aléatoire
SKU · AAAAV59509

Machine Espresso - DENWA - ECM-290 - 19 Bar - 1400W - Couleur Aléatoire

longtail 1P PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▲ 33.3% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

10
≈ 6.8 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 564
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-23

AAAAV59509

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 120 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Machine Espresso - DENWA - ECM-290 - 19 Bar - 1400W - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +33.3% · on-hand 10 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (763 days of history, 33 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.06 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks8.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months31.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)30.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)120.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.4
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 67.7K