Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAV59438
Cuiseur à vapeur - Denwa - STC-220 - 400W - 4.8L - Inox avec 2 paniers
longtail
1P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+200.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
3
≈ 5.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 198
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAV59438
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 59 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cuiseur à vapeur - Denwa - STC-220 - 400W - 4.8L - Inox avec 2 paniers · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +20.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (602 days of history, 28 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 14.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 18.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 58.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.6K |