Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAV59427
Casseroles - ARIAN - Lot de 5 - Inox - Compatible induction - Facile à nettoyer
midtail
3P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
3
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
76
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 263
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-28
AAAAV59427
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 297 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casseroles - ARIAN - Lot de 5 - Inox - Compatible induction - Facile à nettoyer · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (875 days of history, 741 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.95 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 17.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 110.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 44.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 296.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 78.1K |