Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAV59427
Casseroles - ARIAN - Lot de 5 - Inox - Compatible induction - Facile à nettoyer
midtail
1P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
1
≈ 0.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 247
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAAAV59427
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 224 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casseroles - ARIAN - Lot de 5 - Inox - Compatible induction - Facile à nettoyer · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (819 days of history, 737 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.87 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 18.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 51.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 16.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 71.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 223.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 55.1K |