Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAV59401
Blender - MGS - MBL-1220B - 500W - 1.5L - Lames en acier inoxydable
longtail
1P
PREPARATION CULINAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 71.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
116
Σ Stock across 6 live offers
1P stock
48
≈ 82.3 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 152
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAAV59401
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 65 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Blender - MGS - MBL-1220B - 500W - 1.5L - Lames en acier inoxydable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -71.4% · on-hand 48 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (728 days of history, 45 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 17.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 65.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.9K |