Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAT53800
Ecouteurs sans fil - M10 TWS - Bluetooth 5.1 - Stéréo - Étanche - Autonomie prolongée
hero
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 78.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-95.4%
vs same 4w last year (87 units)
Current stock
850
≈ 80.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 24
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAT53800
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 255 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ecouteurs sans fil - M10 TWS - Bluetooth 5.1 - Stéréo - Étanche - Autonomie prolongée · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -78.9% · on-hand 850 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (798 days of history, 263 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.57 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 19 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 22.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 67.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 74.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 254.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.1K |