Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAS56685
Support ordinateur portable - Créatif - Pliable - Métal - Réglable en hauteur - Ergonomique multicolor
longtail
3P
PROTECTION - PERSONNALISATION - SUPPORT
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 87.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-66.7%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
881
≈ 436.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 44
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAAAS56685
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 131 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Support ordinateur portable - Créatif - Pliable - Métal - Réglable en hauteur - Ergonomique multicolor · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -87.5% · on-hand 881 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (812 days of history, 35 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.27 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 31.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 130.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.8K |