Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAQ75657
Presse-Agrume - MGS - MCJ-0822A - 1L - Blanc - 25W
midtail
1P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 150.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-37.5%
vs same 4w last year (16 units)
Current stock
54
≈ 14.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 97
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAAAQ75657
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 112 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Presse-Agrume - MGS - MCJ-0822A - 1L - Blanc - 25W · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +150.0% · on-hand 54 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (826 days of history, 229 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.39 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 27.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 112.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.9K |