Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAQ13588
BOUILLOIRE EN VERRE LED KT-361 1,8L 2200W DENWA
longtail
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 266.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
14
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
9
≈ 13.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 182
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-11
AAAAQ13588
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
BOUILLOIRE EN VERRE LED KT-361 1,8L 2200W DENWA · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +266.7% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (945 days of history, 53 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 12.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 7.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.3K |