Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAQ13578
DENWA - BALANCE DE CUISINE ELEC 15KG KS423
longtail
1P + 3P
USTENSILES DE PESAGE - MESURE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
54
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
47
≈ 31.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 73
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAAQ13578
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 151 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
DENWA - BALANCE DE CUISINE ELEC 15KG KS423 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 48 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (868 days of history, 152 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 13.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 62.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 151.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 11.1K |