Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAP78634
Magnesium Marin 375mg + B6 + B12 capsule - Stress, fatigue, Soutien osseux et cardiovasculaire
hero
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
48
▼ 40.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-82.9%
vs same 4w last year (281 units)
Current stock
12
≈ 0.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 43
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAP78634
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 399 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Magnesium Marin 375mg + B6 + B12 capsule - Stress, fatigue, Soutien osseux et cardiovasculaire · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 48 units, trending down -40.0% · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (833 days of history, 859 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.25 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 48 units · prev 4w = 80 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 8.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 40.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 100.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 27.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 136.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 398.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 17.0K |