Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAP38426
Broc - Fridge - 1,3 L - Verre - Couvercle inclus
longtail
1P
MULTISPORT
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
4
≈ 9.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 25
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-04-26
AAAAP38426
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 73 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Broc - Fridge - 1,3 L - Verre - Couvercle inclus · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (357 days of history, 22 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.57 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 21.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 73.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.9K |