Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAP38426
Broc - Fridge - 1,3 L - Verre - Couvercle inclus
longtail
1P + 3P
MULTISPORT
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
203
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
63
≈ 149.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 23
avg of last 19 sells · latest 2026-06-15
AAAAP38426
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 43 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Broc - Fridge - 1,3 L - Verre - Couvercle inclus · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 63 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (392 days of history, 21 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.57 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 3.3 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 0.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 43.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 983 |