Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAP09563
Rasoir à Sourcils - GENERIC - Épilateur Portable - 3pcs - Lames en Acier Inoxydable - Poignée Ergonomique
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▲ 21.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-75.7%
vs same 4w last year (70 units)
Current stock
926
≈ 158.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 3
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAP09563
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 278 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Rasoir à Sourcils - GENERIC - Épilateur Portable - 3pcs - Lames en Acier Inoxydable - Poignée Ergonomique · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending up +21.4% · on-hand 926 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (826 days of history, 267 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 12.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 50.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 62.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 278.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 899 |