Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
Guanjing Peeling Foot Mask Lavender Collagen
SKU · AAAAP09551

Guanjing Peeling Foot Mask Lavender Collagen

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▼ 85.7% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-89.5%
vs same 4w last year (19 units)

Current stock

90
≈ 61.2 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 17
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAAAP09551

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 71 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Guanjing Peeling Foot Mask Lavender Collagen · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -85.7% · on-hand 90 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (798 days of history, 107 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.69 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 14 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks8.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months26.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)24.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)71.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.2K