Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
GARNIER SKINACTIVE – LOT DE 2 EAU MICELLAIRE POUR PEAUX SENSIBLES – 2×400 ML
SKU · AAAAO56128

GARNIER SKINACTIVE – LOT DE 2 EAU MICELLAIRE POUR PEAUX SENSIBLES – 2×400 ML

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
vs same 4w last year (0 units)

Current stock

5
≈ 3.2 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 75
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-29

AAAAO56128

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 153 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

GARNIER SKINACTIVE – LOT DE 2 EAU MICELLAIRE POUR PEAUX SENSIBLES – 2×400 ML · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 5 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (798 days of history, 73 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 2.26 — high (lumpy)
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.7 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks7.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months27.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week9.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)51.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)153.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 11.5K