Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAO53442
LOT 2 BOITES HERMETIQUES 3.4 L+1.2 L TRANSPARENTES
longtail
1P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 14.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
25
Σ Stock across 5 live offers
1P stock
25
≈ 30.9 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 12
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAAO53442
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 73 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
LOT 2 BOITES HERMETIQUES 3.4 L+1.2 L TRANSPARENTES · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -14.3% · on-hand 25 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (833 days of history, 37 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 21.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 73.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 887 |