Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAO52537
Pare-Soleil Parapluie pliable Pour Pare-brise ,aide au refroidissement intérieure de la voiture
longtail
3P
CONFORT CONDUCTEUR ET PASSAGER
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
220
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 61
avg of last 24 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAO52537
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pare-Soleil Parapluie pliable Pour Pare-brise ,aide au refroidissement intérieure de la voiture · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -33.3% · on-hand 220 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (784 days of history, 23 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.79 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 17.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.7K |